Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Season 27: Preseason Report



Teams RD W L Comments




Jacksonville 259 110 52 .4 runs separate the top 2. Just rounded differently. Both reams are loaded.

Kansas City 258 110 52 The most complete team in Hobbs

Scranton 200 103 59 After a slight dip last season and a new name, the Scranton franchise is back.

Las Vegas 192 102 60 Top offense in Hobbs, but pitching is a couple of notches below the top 3.

Vancouver 128 95 67 Good enough to win the WS. Anyone below Vancouver would be a longshot.

Jackson 66 88 74 A team on the rise for a while, 90 wins seems likely.

Chicago 60 88 74 Last season's 80 wins was a disappointment, but this season looks better.

Dover 44 86 76 Kcfan has finished the rebuild quite nicely. If he can get a little more pitching he will be very dangerous.

Cheyenne 40 85 77 Averaged 93 wins over the last 5 seasons. Probably about the same this season.

Durham 30 84 78 I don't know how many wind they will have, but history says it will end in a 4 or 5.

Nashville 22 83 79 Big salaries equal big expectations for this 80 win team.

Augusta 20 83 79 Will a new location equal big results? I'm guessing 85 wins.

Houston 1 81 81 My eyes like team better than my SS. I'm going to assume my eyes are right.

Santa Cruz -5 80 82 Colton worked hard to rebuild this team and finnski sees primed to take them to glory.

Los Angeles -7 80 82 Stnick has his team ready for the playoffs potentially. He has resources in the minors to help or trade for help.

Helena -11 80 82 A complete teardown seems likely. Not likely to finish this high.

Buffalo -14 79 83 My SS never liked the champs and the off season does not seem to have improved things.

Baltimore -17 79 83 Declined a little bit from previous season. Still talented.

Little Rock -22 79 83 Late season collapse cost them a playoff spot. They have already added an IFA. The franchise seems to be getting healthier by the season.

Boise -27 78 84 Decent at everything and they often over perform expectations.

Burlington -36 77 85 Doume has the team ready to start challenging for a playoff spot.

Pittsburgh -45 76 86 Interesting off season. Need to rebuild seemed clear, but rigbystar took it a different way.

San Francisco -56 75 87 Slow decline likely to continue, but the budget is in great sharp.

San Juan -68 73 89 One strong pitcher from being able to contend.

Syracuse -73 73 89 Expensive and not that good, but at least they have the first pick.

Trenton -80 72 90 Highest initial rank in a few seasons. Things are looking up.

Florida -94 71 91 Not bad at anything, just not really good at anything either.

Philadelphia -100 70 92 May be emerging from the rebuild. Has more talent than last season and his budget is in great shape.

Santa Fe -129 67 95 Not really this bad. Their roster is incomplete and I can only use what's there.

Sacramento -148 65 97 Power ranking wise Sacramento is going the wrong way.

San Diego -151 64 98 Despite a wonderful season last year, I just don't see the stars to justify a higher ranking. Only Maxwell would get playing time on the Jayhawks for example.

New Orleans -237 55 107 One of the most successful owners in Hobbs, but I don't see it on this roster.







Top 25 hitters




Name Team Projected Runs Created

Jin-Chi Itou LV 150.5

P.T. Feliz KC 145.7

Ike Allen LA 135.6

Jamey Brewington JAX 133.9

Woody Reagan DOV 131.0

John Small JAX 130.3

Tommy Webster JAC 128.2

Harry Johnson CHI 127.5

Dwight Herzog SCOT 125.1

Bill Williams Jr. JAX 123.8

Jumbo Sanchez LV 123.2

Ken Woods Santa Fe 122.6

Joshua Monahan BURL 121.8

Hector Cortez SF 121.4

Hugh Pierre KC 121.4

Vinny Catalanotto JAX 120.2

Bengie Fernandez SF 119.8

Bob Tucker HOU 119.5

Alan Duncan SAC 119.1

Moises Morales SCOT 117.8

Robinzon Beltran LV 117.7

Geronimo Marquez PHIL 117.5

Miguel Matos LA 116.9

Juan Aramboles DOV 116.7

Taylor Griffith SAC 116.6




Top 25 pitchers

Name Team Raw score

Al Troncoso HOU 3415

Yamil Duran HOU 3401

Derrick Dawkins BALT 3400

Orlando Fernandez JAX 3374

Santos Eovaldi KC 3353.25

Jeremi Wilkerson NO 3333

Frank Hong TRE 3248

Vern Stone LV 3244

Lew Ellis AUGS 3241.25

Benji Ramirez JAX 3223

Vicente Prieto CHI 3215.5

Wil Gray CHI 3195

Benj Trammell Chey 3194.75

Rick Branson JAX 3192

Jason Haywood KC 3183.75

Mark Martin BOI 3180

Louis Wilson KC 3179

Enerio Tatis AUGS 3177

Trever Springer NASH 3176.25

Domingo Hernandez Pitt 3170.5

Pasqual Hernandez SYR 3160.75

Walt Hairston HEL 3150

Corban Chiasson SCOT 3145

Jack Parrish DUR 3135.5

Jair Gonzalez JAX 3134.25

Saturday, April 18, 2015

Franchise Rankings- Thru 26 Seasons

1 (1) - Dover Rabid Dogs- 104

2 (2)- Kansas City Jayhawks- 77 (+3)

3 (5)- Las Vegas Desperagdos- 69 (+9)

4 (3)- Durham Bulls- 66 (+2)

5 (4)- Baltimore Buushwackerz- 63 (+1)

6 (6)- Nashville Bootleggers- 59

7 (8)- Vancouver Voodoo- 57 (+3)

8 (7)- Honolulu Hurricanes- 56

9 (9)- Scottsdale Cardinals- 50

9 (9)- Philadelphia Erffdoggs- 50

9 (9)- Chicago Orphans- 50

12 (12)- Syracuse SlumpBusters- 47

12 (13)- Richmond Fire Blitz- 47 (+2)

12 (13)- Jackson Mudslide- 47 (+2)

15 (15)- Los Angeles Lothbroks- 37

16 (16)- Cincinnati Red Bowties- 36

17 (17)- San Francisco Gothams- 34

18 (18)- Sante Fe Fire- 31

19 (19)- Houston Hitmen- 28 (+2)

19 (20)- Jacksonville See You Now- 28 (+3)

21 (21)- Pawtucket Griffins- 25 (+2)

22 (28)- Buffalo- 24 (+11)

23 (22)- Burlington Dark Monsters- 22

23 (22)- San Juan Padres- 22

25 (24)- New Orleans Big Test Icicles- 22

26 (25)- Cheyenne Feather Heads- 18 (+1)

27 (27)- Sacramento Maters- 17 (+3)

28 (26)- Trenton Fishermen- 16

29 (29)- San Diego Surf Sharks- 10 (+1)

30 (29)- Florida TIGERS- 9

31 (31)- Boise Spuds- 7 (+2)

32 (32)- Little Rock and Rollers- 5 (+1)


Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Third Quarter Power Rankings

1-Jacksonville See You Now (NL) 95-32 26-8 1.17 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V18ui3Rtjz4

2- Kansas City Jayhawks (AL) 80-47 18-16 2.26 The clear number #2 even if they've only been .500 or so recently

3- Vancouver Voodoo (AL) 79-48 18-16 3.13 The clear number #3 even if they've only been .500 or so recently

4- Las Vegas Desperados (AL) 78-49 21-13 3.91 Played like themselves finally. May be getting hot at just the right time.

5- Jackson Mudslide (AL) 72-55 18-15 6.83 Likely #3 seed in the AL

6- Boise Spuds (AL) 78-49 21-13 7.00 Picked just the right time to make their playoff push.

7- Pawtucket Griffins (NL) 69-58 18-16 7.78 They roster and run differential say they are still elite, but they record doesn't.

8- Cheyenne Feather Heads (AL) 71-56 21-13 8.39 Despite being the 8th best team is increasingly unlikely to make the playoffs

9- San Diego Surf Sharks (AL) 77-50 17-17 9.78 Are they new San Diego that was 60-33 or the old San Diego that has come out lately.

10- Houston Hitmen (NL) 69-58 20-14 10.83 They're roster seems to be catching up to their underlying numbers. They keep Jax up at night.

11- Durham Bulls (NL) 67-60 16-18 11.09 On pace to be WC #2 in the NL

12- Buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalobuffalo (NL) 68-59 21-13 12.65 On pace to be WC #1 in the NL

13- Richmond Fire Blitz (AL) 65-62 19-15 14.83 Likely #4 seed in the AL

14- Chicago Orphans (NL) 63-64 13-21 15.00 Have fallen back to .500 despite a promising start.

15- Little Rock And Rollers (NL) 65-62 18-16 16.09 After reaching the 2nd seed in the NL they have been very cold lately.

16- Nashville BootLeggers (AL) 59-68 13-21 17.39 Only thrown out 21% of stolen base attempts

17- Baltimore Buushwackerz (NL) 62-65 18-16 18.00 Close enough to make a playoff run, but needs to make its move now.

18- Sacramento Maters (NL) 59-68 16-18 18.39 This is a playoff team in the NL.

19- Los Angeles Lothbroks (NL) 57-70 11-23 19.30 A nice rookie season for Tito Cooper

20- San Francisco Gothams (NL) 58-69 16-18 20.43 2nd highest total of passed balls

21- Santa Cruz Designated Drinkers (NL) 55-72 12-22 20.83 Sorry to see Colton go.

22- San Juan Padres (NL) 57-70 19-15 21.43 Forgettable season overall, but they have played well lately.

23- Trenton Fisherman (AL) 55-72 16-18 22.15 2nd most doubles in Hobbs

24- Santa Fe Fire (NL) 57-70 17-17 22.80 Leads Hobbs in Walks

25- Dover Rabid Dogs (NL) 53-74 17-17 23.09 Award winners all over the diamond. Just needs to find pitching.

26- Philadelphia Erffdoggs (AL) 56-71 15-19 25.26 joe Cunningham possible ROY season gives Philly something to be excited about.

27- Florida TIGERS (AL) 52-75 10-24 26.78 Worst record over the last 34

28- Honolulu Hurricanes (AL) 53-74 16-18 27.22 2 likely gold glove winners

29- Burlington Dark Monsters (AL) 50-77 14-20 27.65 On a better team Allen Harvey likely wins the Fireman of the Year

30- New Orleans Big Test Icicles (AL) 53-74 16-18 27.96 Surprised Wilkerson is not being used as a closer despite only blowing 7 chances in 3 seasons.

31- Cincinnati Red Bowties (NL) 50-77 17-17 28.57 Curiously strong over the last 34.

32- Syracuse Shockers (AL) 50-77 15-13 30.70 They dug themselves a huge hole, but they are making an impressive climb towards responsibility.

Sunday, March 15, 2015

100-Game Power Rankings

1- Jacksonville See You Now (NL) (69-24) (22-6) 1.21- I'd like to play coy, but the truth is the bats have woken up and this team is humming. Expect the lead to grow.

2- Vancouver Voodoo (AL) (62-31) (24-4) 2.63- The best team since the last power rankings. Has been steadily climing the rankings for a while and now there is only one team left.
3- Kansas City Jayhawks (AL) (61-32) (16-12) 2.79- KC is back to their old ways this season. Up and down. Great overall record but just not as consistent as they'd like.
4- Las Vegas Desperados (AL) (57-36) (15-13) 4.45- Don't listen to Mongoose. He's making the playoffs.

5- Jackson Mudslide (AL) (53-40) (19-9) 6.79- Very, very close to joining the elite.
6- Boise Spuds (AL) (57-36) (13-15) 7.39- Cooled down signicantly after their lightning fast start.

7- Cheyenne Feather Heads (AL) (51-42) (17-11) 9.55- Though they have a lovely power ranking they are miles from sniffing the playoffs right now.

8- Durham Bulls (NL) (50-43) (14-14) 9.66- Despite recent struggles, they are likely a wild card team.

9- San Diego Surf Sharks (AL) (60-33) (21-7) 9.68- Their overall rating doesn't show it, but their record is as good as anyone but Jax. History shows that when your record stays this good everything else catches up.

10- Pawtucket Griffins (NL) (49-44) (16-12) 9.89- Unbelieve able that this team is only 5 games above .500. They are playing well, just not winning games.

11- Buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalobuffalo (NL) (51-42) (18-10) 11.03- Buffalo is buffaloing a lot more than Buffalo lately.

12- Houston Hitmen (NL) (47-46) (13-15) 13.50- This team has a good roster, a first class run differential, but lacks the wins to show for it.

13- Chicago Orphans (NL) (46-47) (11-17) 14.74- Being in the NL means they are only 3 games out of the playoffs.

14- Little Rock And Rollers (NL) (50-43) (17-11) 15.34- I did not see this team this good this fast. The underlying numbers do not support it, but they could win their division. 

15- Richmond Fire Blitz (AL) (47-46) (11-17) 15.39- It doesn't take much to lead some divisions
16- Baltimore Buushwackerz (NL) (46-47) (15-13) 17.05- Still struggling to score runs.

17- Los Angeles Lothbroks (NL) (44-49) (13-15) 18.00- Sometimes it really pays to the best bad team. Will likely make the playoffs.

18- Nashville BootLeggers (AL) (43-50) (14-14) 18.03- After 9 consecutive successful seasons they are strugling.

19- Santa Fe Fire (NL) (46-47) (11-17) 20.21- Top offense, terrible pitching. At least they are halfway there.

20- San Francisco Gothams (NL) (42-51) (7-21) 21.08- Worst record since the last rankings. They have comepletely come apart.

21- Honolulu Hurricanes (AL) (43-50) (13-15) 21.39- Hard to overcome 35 - plays
22- Dover Rabid Dogs (NL) (38-55) (13-15) 21.79- Trust me, Kdfan is working really hard on his team and the record is finally improving.

23- Trenton Fishermen (AL) (39-54) (13-15) 22.26- Needs to improve defense to start to rise in the rankings.
24- San Juan Padres (NL) (40-53) (10-18) 23.16- Leads Hobbs in Errors. Doesn't have the offense to over come it. 

25- Scottsdale Cardinals (NL) (36-57) (9-19) 23.18- Owner has checked in to his team once in the last 10 day and it shows.

26- Sacramento Maters (NL) (41-52) (11-17) 23.21- The struggles continue in Sacramento.
27- Philadelphia Erffdoggs (AL) (42-51) (13-15) 24.66- Showing improvement over last season.

28-Cincinnati Red Bowties (NL) (37-56) (15-13) 25.61- Played much better lately as they pitching seems to have caught up. Lack of attention cost this team a playoff spot IMO.
29- Burlington Dark Monsters (AL) (36-57) (13-15) 26.97 -Will likely avoid 100 loses for the first time in quite a while this season.

30- Florida TIGERS (AL) (37-56) (8-20) 27.71- SECOND WORST TEAM OVER THE LAST 28. 

31- Syracuse Shockers (AL) (33-60) (14-14) 29.68- The rebuild seems to have gone really, really fast!
32- New Orleans Big Test Icicles (AL) (35-58) (9-19) 30.16- I really thought NO would be better.

Monday, March 2, 2015

60- Game Power Rankings

1- Jacksonville See You Now (NL) (47-18)- 1.24- Top pitching again, strong defense, though the offense has been up and down.
2- Kansas City Jayhawks (AL) (45-20)- 2.24- Best team in Hobbs since Dakar was accused of tanking. Best roster.
3- Las Vegas Desperados (AL) (42-23)- 3.29- Their run differential says they will start winning again.
4- Vancouver Voodoo (AL) (38-27)- 5.06- An offensive explosion has matched their #3 roster rating. The wins will come in bunches soon.
5- Boise Spuds (AL) (44-21)- 5.82- Had the best record for most of the first third of the season. The pleasant surprise of the season.
6- Durham Bulls (NL) (36-29)- 7.50- Super solid across the board, top 10 in every category. Could use a change of divisions.
7- Jackson Mudslide (AL) (34-31)- 11.35- Only 3 over is good enough for 1st place in the AL South
8- San Diego Surf Sharks (AL) (39-26)- 11.35- Rebuild over. These guys are for real.
9- Chicago Orphans (NL) (35-30)- 11.41- Would make the playoffs if they started today.
10- Pawtucket Griffins (NL) (33-32)- 11.65- Along with Vancouver, the unluckiest teams so far, the record should catch up with the roster and run differential
11- Cheyenne Feather Heads (AL) (34-31)- 11.82- Numbers down across the board. Will they rejoin the elite?
12- Richmond Fire Blitz (AL) (36-29)- 11.85- Playing much better than then my projections. The Sacramento of last season.
13- Houston Hitmen (NL) (34-31)- 12.76- 4th in ERA, 7th in run differential, I'd be shocked if their record doesn't improve.
14- San Francisco Gothams (NL) (35-30)- 14.24- Scoring runs in bunches, but a pitching staff lead by J.C. Piscotty is holding them back
15- Santa Fe Fire (NL) (35-30)- 15.65- 4th in runs scored, but their pitching is holding them back
16- Buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalobuffalo (NL) (33-32)- 16.24- The pitching is there. 3rd in ERA, above average defense, just need one more thing. . .
17- Los Angeles Lothbroks (NL) (31-34)- 18.50- Significantly better than last season. Near league worse pitching last season is now above average
18- Baltimore Buushwackerz (NL) (31-34)- 18.97- Baltimore is really struggling. Their record actually well above what their 5th worst run differential says it should be.
19- Sacramento Maters (NL) (30-35)- 20.29- Not replicating their success last season. Pretty much playing to their roster and RD.
20- Nashville BootLeggers (AL) (29-36)- 20.47- Trever Springer and Dustin McGee are keeping 
them in contention
21- Little Rock And Rollers (NL) (33-32)- 20.47- Outplaying their underlying numbers. They added a ton of cheap vets at the end of FA and in spring training. Maybe its their leadership?
22- Honolulu Hurricanes (AL) (30-35)- 22.18- Improved record, minors are rocking, things are improving in Honolulu
23- Santa Cruz Designated Drinkers (NL) (27-38)- 22.71- The bad version of VAN and PAW. Their underlying numbers say they are a .500 team.
24- San Juan Padres (NL) (30-35)- 22.88- Terry Taylor has an OPS of 1.234!
25- Trenton Fishermen (AL) (26-39)- 23.03- Sammy Morales is one of the league's best closers this season.
26- Dover Rabid Dogs (NL) (25-40)- 23.35- Has accumulated some nice talent in the rebuild. Just needs to add pitching.
27- Florida TIGERS (AL) (29-36)- 25.18- Weirdly they have the best plus/minus ratio, but lead the league in errors.
28- Philadelphia Erffdoggs (AL) (29-36)- 25.41- They say walking is an excellent exercise. The Erffdoggs must be in tremendous shape as they already have amassed 301 walks.
29- Burlington Dark Monsters (AL) (23-42)- 26.94- New owner, same results so far, although they are putting together a scary crop of prospects
30- Cincinnati Red Bowties (NL) (22-43)- 27.00- Pitching staff got into trouble early. Only recently has started to play up to their capabilities.
31- New Orleans Big Test Icicles (AL) (26-39)- 27.97- Rebuild is slower going than expected.
32- Syracuse Shockers (AL) (19-46)- 29.41- Got excellent value for their stud starters.

Thursday, February 5, 2015

Season 26 Opening Day Power Rankings

Rank- Team- (Proj W/L)

1- Kansas City (110-52)- Off-season acquisitions boost them into the number 1 spot.
2- Jacksonville (108-54) Same roster as last season should produce about the same result.
3- Las Vegas (107-55) As predicted by Mongoose, down slightly from last season.
4- Pawtucket (101-61) Solid everywhere, this could be their season.
5- Vancouver (99-63) Vancouver takes a big leap. They are clearly part of the elite now.
6- Nashville (87-75) Best of the rest anyone from this point would be a surprise WS winner.
7- Jackson (86-76) Tommy Webster and a deep stable of pitchers should lead Jackson to the playoffs
8- Durham (86-76) Unlikely to crack the top 5, but solidly in next set of teams
9- Cincinnati (85-77) Quiet off-season has them above average, but again on the cusp of the playoffs.
10- Boise (85-77) The hitting is there, but will need the pitching to over perform to challenge the best teams
11- New Orleans (84-78) Blanche has them ready for the big time.
12- Cheyenne (83-79) Kevin Hilldenbrand and Nicky Cooke lead a decent team that may be down just a little
13- Baltimore (81-81) A top 5 pitching staff makes them always a threat for the playoffs
14- Houston (80-82) While they have pushed Jacksonville to the limit each of the last 2 seasons, they are now the league's most balanced team
15- Trenton (80-82) Hopefully Trenton's big league squad plays well, as there is very little talent on the way.
16- Little Rock (79-83) Added a number of vets to make themselves competitive.
17- Burlington (79-83) Decent you talent for the new owner to build around. The ML roster is pretty average.
18- Sacramento (78-84) The numbers didn't like them last season, but they made the playoffs. We will see who is right now.
19- Chicago (77-85) Has the top end talent to match Vegas and KC, but lacks the depth to compete. Still, they seem on an up swing
20- Dover (75-87) Has added a lot of young talent and seems well into the rebuild.
21- Honolulu (75-87) Its -17 here. I wish I was there.
22- Los Angeles (74-88) Seems unlikely to repeat the failures of last season.
23- Buffalo (74-88) Played well last season, may struggle more this season.
24- San Juan (74-88) Lead by nice young pitching, San Juan lacks top line talent elsewhere.
25- San Francisco (72-90) Deepest minor leagues in Roy Hobbs. Lacks a superstar, but multiple all-stars on the farm.
26- Florida (71-91) Really lacks talent at all levels.
27- Scottsdale (72-90) Huge additions to the ML squad make me think this number is low.
28- Richmond (69-93) Best young talent in Hobbs. SF has a deeper pool, but Richmond's is better
29- San Diego (67-95) Alex Harrelson and Blake Maxwell are quite good, but the talent drops sharply from there.
30- Philadelphia (66-96) The pitching is getting close, but may struggle to score runs.
31- Santa Fe (65-97) Ken Woods may get dealt early as my numbers say Santa Fe will struggle to stay in games.
32- Syracuse (64-98) Oh how the mighty have fallen.


Future Rankings

City Score
Richmond 12
San Francisco 11
New Orleans 10
Baltimore 9.5
Scottsdale 9.5
Burlington 8.5
Kansas City 8
Little Rock 7.5
Chicago 7.5
Jacksonville 7
Las Vegas 6.5
Cheyenne 6
Dover 6
Los Angeles 6
San Juan 6
Philadelphia 6
Buffalo 5.5
Honolulu 5
San Diego 5
Jackson 4.5
Durham 4.5
Florida 4.5
Vancouver 4
Boise 4
Pawtucket 3.5
Houston 3
Sacramento 3
Trenton 2.5
Santa Fe 2.5
Nashville 2
Cincinnati 2
Syracuse 0.5

Saturday, January 10, 2015

After 25.... Revised Franchise Rankings

1 (1)- Dover Rabid Dogs- 104

2 (2)- Kansas City Jayhawks- 74 (+3)

3 (3)- Durham Bulls- 64 (+2)

4 (4)- Baltimore Buushwackers- 62 (+1)

5 (11)- Las Vegas Desperados- 60 (+12)

6 (5)- Nashville BootLeggers- 59 (+3)

7 (5)- Honolulu Hurricanes- 56

8 (7)- Vancouver Voodoo- 54 (+2)

9 (8)- Santa Cruz Designated Drinkers- 50

9 (8)- Philadelphia Erffdoggs- 50

9 (10)- Chicago Orphans- 50 (+1)

12 (12)- Syracuse Shockers- 47

13 (13)- Richmond Fire Blitz- 45 (+1)

13 (13)- Jackson Mudslide- 45 (+1)

15 (15)- Los Angeles Lothbroks- 37

16 (16)- Cincinnati Red Bowties- 36 (+1)

17 (17)- San Francisco Gothams- 34

18 (18)- Sante Fe Fire- 31

19 (19)- Charlotte Charlotteans- 26 (+2)

20 (24)- Jacksonville See You Now- 25 (+9)

21 (22)- Pawtucket Griffins- 23 (+4)

22 (20)- New Britain Red Coats- 22

22 (20)- San Juan Padres- 22

24 (23)- New Orleans Big Test Icicles- 18

25 (26)- Cheyenne Feather Heads- 17 (+3)

26 (24)- Trenton Fishermen- 16

27 (27)- Sacramento Maters- 14 (+2)

28 (28)- Buffalo- 13 (+2)

29 (29)- Florida TIGERS- 9

29 (29)- San Diego Surf Sharks- 9

31 (31)- Boise Spuds- 5 (+1)

32 (32)- Little Rock and Rollers- 4